Talk page for the Complexity Project
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| Complex Systems Summer School 2011 |
This is the page for formulating an answer to the Challenge Question on Complexity.
Refining the question: what are we trying to answer? Time based? Scale? Dynamics?
Conceptualization: what are the concepts to lock in for testing?
Models available for modification:
- NetLogo diffusion models
- Netlogo network models
- Bhavnani Findley Kuklinski (rumors on ethnic conflict)
Assembly of annotated bibliography for data/parameter mining
Crutchfield, Jim (2009). "The Hidden Fragility of Complex Systems: Consequences of Change, Changes of Consequences". http://www.santafe.edu/media/workingpapers/09-12-045.pdf -This paper is Jim's rough answer to his own question; we should consider it our ur-text for this project. It is non-technical reading (something like a long op-ed) but sketches out basic definitions of fragility, complexity, and the sorts of problems he sees as needing answers. It also has some references we may want to explore further. MDT
Johnson, Simon. "13 Bankers and the Next Financial Meltdown" (.pdf). http://ineteconomics.org/sites/inet.civicactions.net/files/INETSession8-SimonJohnson_0.pdf - Jim's paper points to the economy as 'complex', and argues this complexity created fragility that led to the recent crisis. Johnson's argument is a bit different: increasing concentration of wealth among a few key financial firms led to regulatory capture and strong homogeneity in that sector. From our perspective, this process reduced the complexity of the financial-political system, and made it prone to failure. MDT