Risk: The Human Factor - Agenda

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Risk: The Human Factor

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Wednesday, October 10

Held at Morgan Stanley World Headquarters, 1585 Broadway, New York, NY

8:30 am Breakfast and Registration
9:00 am Welcome and Overview, Juan-Luis Perez, Morgan Stanley, and John Rundle, SFI and UC Davis
9:15 am FED Behavior and Its Implications, Vincent Reinhart, Managing Director and Chief US Economist, Morgan Stanley
10:00 am Can We Control Ourselves?, David Laibson, Robert I. Goldman Professor of Economics, Harvard University
10:45 am Break
11:00 am The IARPA Forecasting Tournament: How Good (Bad) Can Expert Political Judgment Become Under Favorable (Unfavorable) Conditions?, Phil Tetlock, Leonore Annenberg University Professor in Psychology and Management, University of Pennsylvania
11:45 am Q&A Session 1
12:15 pm Lunch
1:00 pm Individual and Cultural Differences in Perceptions of Risk Elke Weber, Jerome A. Chazen Professor of International Business; Professor of Psychology, The Earth Institute, Columbia University
1:45 pm Prospect Theory Applications in Finance, Nicholas Barberis, Stephen and Camille Schramm Professor of Finance, Yale School of Management
2:30 pm Break
2:45 pm When Brains Are Better Than People: Using fMRI to Predict Markets, Gregory Berns, Distinguished Professor of Neuroeconomics and Director of the Center for Neuropolicy, and Professor of Economics, Emory University
3:30 pm Kelly Capital Growth Criterion for Risk Control, Edward Thorp, Hedge Fund Manager, Author, former Professor of Mathematics, Noted Blackjack Gambler
4:15 pm Q&A Session 2
5:00 pm Adjourn