Limits to Forecasting and Prediction - Agenda
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Tuesday, October 15
Held at Morgan Stanley World Headquarters, 41st Floor, 1585 Broadway, New York, NY
| 8:00 am | Breakfast and Registration |
| 8:45 am | Welcome and Overview, Martin Leibowitz, Morgan Stanley and Chris Wood, SFI |
| 9:00 am | The Forecasting Frenzy, Henry Kaufman, Henry Kaufman & Company |
| 10:00 am | Break |
| 10:30 am | Risk Management Version 3.0: Predicting the Potential for Cascades and Contagion, Rick Bookstaber, Office of Financial Research |
| 11:30 am | With Forecasting, Strategic Beats Tactical, and Many Beats Few, Antti Ilmanen, AQR Capital |
| 12:30 pm | Lunch |
| 1:30 pm | The Predictioneer's Game, Bruce Bueno-Mesquita, New York University |
| 2:30 pm | Challenges of Forecasting with Fat-Tailed Data, Aaron Clauset, University of Colorado and SFI |
| 3:30 pm | Break |
| 4:00 pm | Geopolitical Forecasting Tournaments Test the Limits of Judgment - and Stretch the Boundaries of Science, Philip Tetlock, University of Pennsylvania |
| 5:00 pm | Adjourn |