Forecasting in the Face of Risk and Uncertainty - Agenda

Topical Meeting Navigation

Held at Morgan Stanley World Headquarters, 1585 Broadway, New York, NY

7:30 am	Breakfast and Registration
8:30 am	Welcome and Introduction to the Business Network, Chris Wood, Santa Fe Institute
8:35 am	Introduction to Forecasting in the Face of Uncertainty and Risk , John Rundle, SFI and UC Davis
8:45 am	Forecasting in Sports and Politics, Nate Silver, New York Times Columnist
9:45 am	Break
10:15 am	Forecasting Major Catastrophes, John Seo, Fermat Capital Management
11:15 am	Meteorological Forecasting, Susan Avery, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute
12:15 pm	Lunch
1:15 pm	Forecasting Based on Ensemble Versus Time Averages, Ole Peters, Imperial College London
2:15 pm	Forecasting Changes in the Global Climate, Marcia McNutt, US Geological Survey
3:15 pm	Break
3:30 pm	Concluding Panel Discussion Moderated by Marty Leibowitz, Managing Director, US Equity Strategy, Morgan Stanley Richard Bookstaber, Author of A Demon of Our Own Design Henry Kaufman, President, Henry Kaufman & Company Bill Miller, Chairman and Chief Investment Officer, Legg Mason Capital Management, and Chairman Emeritus, SFI Board of Trustees
5:00 pm	Adjourn