Forecasting in the Face of Uncertainty and Risk - Agenda

Topical Meeting Navigation

Held at Morgan Stanley World Headquarters, 1585 Broadway, New York, NY

7:30 am	Breakfast and Registration
8:30 am	Welcome and Introduction to the Business Network, Chris Wood, Santa Fe Institute
8:45 am	Introduction to Forecasting in the Face of Uncertainty and Risk , John Rundle, SFI and UC Davis
9:00 am	Forecasting in Sports and Politics, Nate Silver, New York Times Columnist
10:00 am	Break
10:30 am	Forecasting Major Catastrophes, John Seo, Fermat Capital Management
11:30 am	Meteorological Forecasting, Susan Avery, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute
12:30 pm	Lunch
1:30 pm	Forecasting Based on Ensemble Versus Time Averages, Ole Peters, University College, London
2:30 pm	Forecasting Changes in the Global Climate, Marcia McNutt, US Geological Survey
3:30 pm	Break
4:00 pm	Concluding Panel Discussion Moderated by Marty Leibowitz, Managing Director, US Equity Strategy, Morgan Stanley Rick Bookstaber, Senior Policy Advisor, Financial Stability Oversight Council, SEC	Henry Kaufman, President, Henry Kaufman & Company	Bill Miller, Chairman and Chief Investment Officer, Legg Mason Capital Management, and Chairman Emeritus, SFI Board of Trustees
5:30 pm	Adjourn