Forecasting in the Face of Uncertainty and Risk - Agenda

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Wednesday, October 5

Held at Morgan Stanley World Headquarters, 1585 Broadway, New York, NY

7:30 am Breakfast and Registration
8:30 am Welcome and Introduction to the Business Network, Chris Wood, Santa Fe Institute
8:45 am Introduction to Forecasting in the Face of Uncertainty and Risk , John Rundle, SFI and UC Davis
9:00 am Forecasting in Sports and Politics, Nate Silver, New York Times Columnist
10:00 am Break
10:30 am Forecasting Major Catastrophes, John Seo, Fermat Capital Management
11:30 am Meteorological Forecasting, Susan Avery, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute
12:30 pm Lunch
1:30 pm Forecasting Based on Ensemble Versus Time Averages, Ole Peters, University College, London
2:30 pm Forecasting Changes in the Global Climate, Marcia McNutt, US Geological Survey
3:30 pm Break
4:00 pm Concluding Panel Discussion Moderated by Marty Leibowitz, Managing Director, US Equity Strategy, Morgan Stanley
Rick Bookstaber, Senior Policy Advisor, Financial Stability Oversight Council, SEC
Henry Kaufman, President, Henry Kaufman & Company Bill Miller, Chairman and Chief Investment Officer, Legg Mason Capital Management, and Chairman Emeritus, SFI Board of Trustees
5:30 pm Adjourn