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(New page: {{Mathematics of Terrorism}} '''The Mathematics of Terrorism''' August 31-September 2, 2009, Santa Fe NM '''Organizers:''' [http://www.santafe.edu/~aaronc/ Aaron Clauset] (Santa Fe Inst...)
 
 
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''Organizations and the Choice of Terrorism''
 
''Organizations and the Choice of Terrorism''
  
We report various commonalities in the patterns of violence arising in human conflicts and in global terrorism (work of A. Clauset et al.). We propose a unified model which reproduces these commonalities, and explains conflict-specific variations quantitatively in terms of underlying rules-of-engagement. Our model treats each insurgent population as an ecology of dynamically evolving, self-organized groups following common decision-making processes. Our model seems consistent with several recent hypotheses concerning modern insurgency, is robust to many generalizations, and establishes a quantitative connection between human insurgency, global terrorism (A. Clauset et al.) and ecology. We discuss the implications of the model for scenario testing, and its potential ability to look 'behind the scenes' of global violence and current threats.
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Why do some organizations chose to target civilians? Why do organizations who target civilians make very different choices in terms of targeting and tools?  This presentation uses two relatively new data bases (The Big Allied and Dangerous data base and the Minorities At Risk Organizational Behavior data set) to explore this set of questions.

Latest revision as of 16:07, 28 August 2009

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The Mathematics of Terrorism August 31-September 2, 2009, Santa Fe NM

Organizers: Aaron Clauset (Santa Fe Institute) and Brian Tivnan (MITRE)

Monday, August 31, 2009

Victor Asal

Organizations and the Choice of Terrorism

Why do some organizations chose to target civilians? Why do organizations who target civilians make very different choices in terms of targeting and tools? This presentation uses two relatively new data bases (The Big Allied and Dangerous data base and the Minorities At Risk Organizational Behavior data set) to explore this set of questions.