Geopolitical & Global Market Risk Agenda

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Held at Morgan Stanley, 1585 Broadway, 41st Floor, New York, NY

DRAFT Agenda (check back often for updates)

8:00 am	Breakfast and Registration
8:45 am	Welcome Martin Leibowitz, Morgan Stanley, and Will Tracy, Santa Fe Institute
9:05 am	Supply Chains, Complexity Traps, and Fragility, Charlie Brummitt, Harvard, and Catalant Technologies
9:55 am	Break
10:10 am	Using Simple Rules to Cope with Uncertainty in Individual and Institutional Decision Making, Mirta Galesic, SFI
11:00 am	Generations and the Rhythms of History: A Theory of Recurring Social Phase Transitions, Neil Howe, Hedgeye Risk Management
11:50 am	Lunch
1:00 pm	The Political Consequences of Economic Complexity, Oscar Landerretche, Codelco, University of Chile, and University of Oxford
1:50 pm	Exploring Complexity After Peacebuilding Reform Failure, Philippe Leroux-Martin, U.S. Institute of Peace
2:40 pm	Break
3:10 pm	Waves of Disruption: Technology, Geopolitics, and Market Risk, Kevin Allison, Eurasia Group
4:00 pm	The Unpredicted: from the French Revolution to String Theory, Simon DeDeo, Carnegie Mellon University, and SFI
5:00 pm	Adjourn