SFI Networks Short Course 201 - Faculty 2017

Networks Short Course 2017 Home Agenda Speakers Participants Readings Slides Registration Accommodations

SFI NETWORKS & BIG DATA SHORT COURSE ON COMPLEXITY

July 26-28, 2017 - Hyatt Centric Times Square, New York City, New York

DIRECTOR

Short Course Director Michelle Girvan

Michelle Girvan is an Associate Professor in the Department of Physics and the Institute for Physical Science and Technology at the University of Maryland, College Park. She is also a member of the External Faculty at the Santa Fe Institute. Her research operates at the intersection of statistical physics, nonlinear dynamics, and computer science and has applications to social, biological, and technological systems. More specifically, her work focuses on complex networks and often falls within the fields of computational biology and sociophysics. While some of the research is purely theoretical, Girvan has become increasingly involved in using empirical data to inform and validate mathematical models.
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FACILITATOR

Short Course Facilitator David Darmon

David Darmon is a research scientist at the Uniformed Services University in Bethesda, Maryland. His research focuses on developing new analytical tools to facilitate understanding of dynamical processes that occur on networks. By realizing information theoretic analyses via nonparametric statistics, investigators can gain new insights into the organization of complex systems. He received his doctorate in Applied Mathematics and Scientific Computing from the University of Maryland, College Park in 2015.
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Abstracts

"'Hands-On Activity: Network Data Analysis"'

For the first hands-on session, we will develop a workflow for analyzing data via networks and present key tools for doing so. With real world networks from entertainment, politics, and business, we will explore how to decide on appropriate network abstractions, collect and process data, visualize and perform exploratory data analysis, and extract relevant network statistics. In the process, we will gain experience in analyzing networks using Gephi and R.

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Hands-On Activity: Modeling Network Diffusion with NetLogo

For the second hands-on session, we will learn how to simulate agent-based models using NetLogo. We will introduce the history of NetLogo and cover its central abstractions. Then we will dive into using NetLogo to model diffusion of information on networks, and learn how to design and analyze experiments in a computational environment, with an emphasis on model calibration and prediction.

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Hands-On Activity: Complex Network Visualization

For the third hands-on session, we will explore various methods for analyzing and visualizing the micro-, meso- and macro-scale structure of multilayer networks. We will compare the insights gained using monolayer and multilayer approaches using real world data sets collected from online social media. In the process, we will gain familiarity with muxViz, a flexible open source tool for analyzing multilayer networks, and reinforce our knowledge of Gephi and R.

SPEAKERS CONFIRMED TO DATE

Damon Centola - Annenberg School for Communication - University of Pennsylvania

Damon Centola's research addresses the complex dynamics of collective behaviors. One set of projects uses agent based models to understand how changes in the topology of social networks can impact the spread of social contagions. Other work uses web-based experimental methods to test these models and provide new theoretical insights into research on collective behavior. Research areas include the emergence of unpopular norms, the mobilization of committed minorities, and the polarization of cultures.

This research has won the 2006, 2009 and 2011 American Sociological Association Award for Outstanding Article in Mathematical Sociology, and the 2011 Goodman Award for Outstanding Contributions to Sociological Methodology.
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Peter Dodds - Professor, Director of the Vermont Complex Systems Center and More - University of Vermont

Peter Sheridan Dodds is a Professor at the University of Vermont (UVM) working on system-level problems in many fields, ranging from sociology to physics. He is Director of the UVM's Complex Systems Center, co-Director of UVM's Computational Story Lab, and a visiting faculty fellow at the Vermont Advanced Computing Core. He maintains general research and teaching interests in complex systems and networks with a current focus on sociotechnical and psychological phenomena including collective emotional states, contagion, language, and stories. His methods encompass large-scale sociotechnical experiments, large-scale data collection and analysis, and the formulation, analysis, and simulation of theoretical models. Dodds's training is in theoretical physics, mathematics, and electrical engineering with extensive formal postdoctoral and research experience in the social sciences. Dodds has received funding from NSF, NASA, ONR, and the MITRE Corporation, among others, notably being awarded an NSF CAREER by the Social and Economic Sciences Directorate.

CV website

Abstract

Data-driven Explorations of the Ecology of Human Stories
In this talk, I will talk about our efforts at the Computational Story Lab to quantify human stories of all kinds. I'll present some examples of our "lexical meters"---online, interactive instruments that use social media and other texts to quantify population rates of a wide array of human behavior such as wealth, exercise levels, obesity rates, and sleep insufficiency. I will present evidence for how 10 diverse natural languages appear to contain a striking frequency-independent positive bias, describing how this phenomenon plays a key role in our hedonometer's performance, and how it may more deeply reflects human nature. I will present hedonometric analysis of works of literature and movies, and then discuss our work on building the Panometer, introducing our latest instrument: the Lexicocalorimeter, a principled meter that turns phrases into calories. Along the way, I will point to a number other diverse projects being carried by our team, ranging from the stories of sports to the failures of large corpora such as Google Books. I will close with some thoughts on the nature of human stories and venture that a science of stories now has the potential to now be developed in full, and that its success will be crucial in understanding the evolution, stability, and fracturing of social systems.

Instrument Websites: http://hedonometer.org/ http://panometer.org/instruments/lexicocalorimeter/



Daniel Larremore - Santa Fe Institute

Daniel Larremore is an Omidyar Fellow at the Santa Fe Institute. His research develops statistical and inferential methods for analyzing large-scale network data, and uses those methods to solve applied problems in diverse domains, including public health and academic labor markets. Prior to joining the Santa Fe Institute he was a post-doctoral fellow at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health 2012-2015. He obtained his Ph.D. in Applied Mathematics from the University of Colorado at Boulder in 2012, and holds an undergraduate degree from Washington University in St. Louis.

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Neo Martinez - University of Arizona

Neo Martinez' Lab investigates the structure and function of complex networks, especially ecological networks involving feeding relationships, population dynamics, evolution and interactions with humans. He is a broadly trained interdisciplinary ecologist who employs empirically and theoretically oriented computational tools including simulations, visualizations, informatics, and games to elucidate the complex interdependencies of all life on earth.
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Hernan Makse - City College of New York, New York City

Hernan Maksi runs the Complex Networks and Soft Matter Lab of Hernan Makse at the Levich Institute and Department of Physics of City College of New York. The lab group is interested in the theoretical understanding of Complex Systems and Data Science from a Statistical Physics viewpoint. The researchers are working towards the development of new emergent laws for complex systems, ranging from the brain and biological networks to social systems. They treat these systems from a unified theoretical approach using concepts from statistical mechanics of out-of-equilibrium complex networks, optimization theory, machine learning and big-data science that they have developed in their studies of social networks and disordered systems in physics. In parallel, they also focus on the study of jammed matter, spanning from granular materials, colloidal suspensions and dense emulsions to glasses, in search of unifying theoretical frameworks. The researchers focus on the theoretical and computational approaches in parallel with experiments.

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Ole Peters - SFI External Faculty and Resident Fellow - London Mathematical Laboratory

Ole Peters's work focuses on stochastic processes that are non-ergodic. This means that long-time averages do not converge to expectation values. Such processes are of practical relevance because they form the basis of economic theory. However, their non-ergodic nature has not been fully explored.

Prior to becoming interested in the foundations of economics I worked on atmospheric convection and far-from equilibrium critical phenomena in statistical mechanics.

Extra-curricular: A fan of anything to do with oceans.
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Abstract

Networks must have some reason for forming. One such reason is cooperation: nodes cooperate by sharing resources through edges. But cooperation itself is a puzzle in evolutionary biology. Why cooperate, why should two entities share resources if the only poorer entity seems to benefit? The puzzle exists because the analysis is carried out using expectation values, or equivalently assuming ergodicity and global conservation of resources. Expectation values are 17th-century mathematics, whereas new techniques of time-averaging in non-stationary processes became available, conceptually from the 1870s onward, with tremendous technical progress since about 1980. By solving the cooperation puzzle we explore what kinds of cooperation networks might form.

Bill Rand - Poole College of Management - NC State

William Rand examines the use of computational modeling techniques, such as agent-based modeling, machine learning, network analysis, natural language processing, and geographic information systems, to help understand and analyze complex systems, such as the diffusion of information, organizational learning, and economic markets.

He also works to develop methods, create pedagogy, and build frameworks to allow researchers and practitioners to use analytics and data-intensive methods in their own work. He has received funding for his research from the NSF, DARPA, ARL, Google, WPP, and the Marketing Science Institute. His work has been published in JM, JMR, IJRM, Management Science, and JOM. He received his doctorate in Computer Science from the University of Michigan in 2005 and prior to coming to NCSU was at the University of Maryland for eight years.
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Abstract

Agent-Based models on networks provide a powerful tool for understanding human, social dynamics, but this understanding can also be applied to help managers make concrete decisions. In this talk, we will explore an application of using agent-based models on networks to design and implement word-of-mouth (WOM) marketing programs. We will explore not only a general framework for the construction of a social network-level individual interaction model, but how to use this model to create a decision support system (DSS) for WOM. The framework presents a set of guidelines and recommendations to: (1) involve stakeholders, (2) follow a data-driven iterative modeling approach, (3) increase validity through automated calibration, and (4) understand the DSS behavior. We will explore an example in freemium apps, where we model how premium users discuss the product with their social network and promote the viral adoption of the product. After its validation, the agent-based DSS forecasts the aggregate number of premium sales over time and the most likely users to become premium in a near future. The experiments show how the DSS can help managers by forecasting premium conversions and increasing the number of premiums via targeting and reward policies.