The science of prediction

The science of prediction

Sport is unpredictable, yet countless panels of experts are struggling to predict the results. Jase and account was no exception, and made his predictions for the quarterfinals of the playoffs in the NFL free college football picks earlier this week.

Predicting sports is a very inaccurate science. A variety of methods have been tested, all showing their ineffectiveness. Astrology, numerology, mathematics ... It's enough to give headaches to the bettors.

We defer to the Euro 2008. An Algerian-born French astrologer named Elizabeth Teissier, particularly known for advising senior European officials, predicted victory for the Blues in the tournament watching the chart of coach Raymond Domenech, to the delight of the French.

In parallel, a Swiss firm, UBS Wealth Management Research, used a mathematical model of Elo rating, originally developed to rank chess players, to determine its prognosis. This system took into account the record of the teams, the context of each match, the strength of the teams involved, and a host of other criteria. The firm has established that the Czech Republic win the tournament.

Finally, it is Spain who won the cup. A blow to astrology and mathematics.

One method that has proven is the use of an animal. Maggie The Monkey, a cute monkey, predicted the outcome of the playoffs for the Stanley Cup in six years on TSN. His method? Turn a wheel which were affixed the logos of teams involved in each series on free football picks.

It has established its reputation by predicting correctly that the Anaheim Ducks reach the final in 2003. She was the only panel to set this prediction, to experts like Bob McKenzie and Pierre McGuire, who earn lot of money to do this work.

Career, Maggie has maintained a respectable success rate of 50%, including several sports experts which shall remain nameless can boast.

If you have not an animal at hand, the best predictions are still those that come from the mouth of the star players themselves, probably because they have a direct influence on the outcome of the match, but never mind.

Remember the "Messier guaranteed" when Mark Messier guaranteed a victory for the New York Rangers in Game # 6 of the Eastern finals against the New Jersey Devils, while the Blue Shirts trailed 3-2 in the series and they had to get the match # 5 jack plane. The Rangers won the college football picks game and Messier scored a hat trick.

We talk about this year's "guarantee of Brett" Brett Favre, quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings, predicted to spell the win against the Dallas Cowboys this afternoon, saying it would very surprised not to play next week.

The old Brett he really had a premonition or crash he under pressure? The answer in a few hours. It promises.