Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

From Santa Fe Institute Events Wiki


Coming to Grips With the Future; Coates

Where Science is Headed—Sixteen Trends; Coates

The Nature of Technology: What It Is and How It Evolves; Arthur

What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright

A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee

A functional approach for studying technological progress: Extension to energy technology; Koh and Magee

Towards quantification of the Role of Materials Innovation in overall Technological Development; Magee

Digital Wires; Hübler

Digital Batteries; Hübler

Chips, Architectures and Algorithms: Reflections on the Exponential Growth of Digital Signal Processing Capability; Richards and Shaw

What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen

The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley

Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik

Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows

Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes

Shaping Tomorrow Today: Near-Term Steps Towards Long-Term Goals; Lempert, Popper, Min, Dewar

The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins

Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop

Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines

Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack

Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney

The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil

The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil

Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson

Economics of the Singularity; Hanson

Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal

Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart

Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger

A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger

Thermodynamics and economics; Jenkins

Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin

Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kühnert, and West