Santa Fe Institute Events Wiki - User contributions [en]

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-09-15T04:20:36Z

Bn: /* The Future Is Not What It Used To Be */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to the Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:10 am
|'''Overview of Theme Week''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|9:20 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate Relations
|-
|9:30 am
|'''The Role of Trends and Discontinuities in Strategic Foresight''', Joseph Coates, Futurist, Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.
|-
|10:30 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:45 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight: Is Technological Progress Predictable?''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Opening and demo of the [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ Performance Curve Database] at [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ pcdb.santafe.edu]'''
|-
|11:30 am
|'''Open Discussion / Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion / Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn
|-
|5:00 pm
|'''Cocktails and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Dinner at SFI'''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 Years - A Prediction Based on Current Research Progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion / Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Open Discussion / Questions for Afternoon Speaker'''
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion / Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Open Discussion / Questions for Afternoon Speaker'''
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Lecture''
|-
|
|Guests staying at La Posada Hotel to arrange own transportation with the hotel
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''The Rise of the Speaking Machine-Human Language Evolution''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy and Climate Change: The Need for Better Prediction''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''So Many Singularities, So Little Time''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion / Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Lecture''
|-
|
|Guests staying at La Posada Hotel to arrange own transportation with the hotel
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Twilight of the Anthropocene: The Fate of Human Society in the Face of Environmental Destruction''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
A "Strategy Game" is a uniquely structured battle of minds between teams representing various players (and/or other third parties) in a market or industry. The objective is to predict third parties’ moves or countermoves and stress-test one’s own plans and strategies in as realistic a setting as possible; and thus, refine your position to be resilient against these most-likely responses.

To be held on Friday, September 18, the goal of this game is to evaluate and develop optimal collaboration strategies between the BNet membership and SFI. We are seeking the participation of a cross-section of BNet and the SFI community to contribute to this highly interactive process that includes team-based analysis, discussion and debate. This activity is being directed by Luciano Oviedo, Systems Analyst, Intel Corporation. He develops processes and technologies related to business, competitive and market analytics.

For more information, please leave any questions/comments at [[Luciano Oviedo]]'s discussion page.

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:00 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|8:30 am
|Overview of Process and Topics
|-
|8:35 am
|Break Up Into Teams and Perform Analysis #1 (4-5 Questions)
|-
|9:00 am
|Teams #1-4 Presentations / Debate #1 (15 min each team)
|-
|10:00 am
|Break
|-
|10:15 am
|Overview of a Proposed "Collaboration Strategy"
|-
|10:30 am
|Break up into Teams; Perform Analysis #2 (4-5 questions)
|-
|11:15 am
|Teams #1-2 Presentations / Debate #2 (15 min each)
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|Teams #3-4 Presentations / Debate #2 (15 min each)
|-
|1:45 am
|Wrap-up / Key Learning’s / Next Steps
|-
|3:00 pm
|Adjourn / Tea with SFI community
|-
|3:30 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-09-08T19:43:03Z

Bn: /* Monday, September 14 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to the Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:20 am
|'''Introduction to the Theme Week''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''The Role of Trends and Discontinuities in Strategic Foresight''', Joseph Coates, Futurist, Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.
|-
|10:45 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:00 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight: Is Technological Progress Predictable?''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|11:30 am
|'''Opening and demo of the [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ Performance Curve Database] at [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ pcdb.santafe.edu]'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn
|-
|5:00 pm
|'''Cocktails and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Dinner at SFI'''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 Years - A Prediction Based on Current Research Progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speaker'''
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speaker'''
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|
|Guests staying at La Posada Hotel to arrange own transportation with the hotel
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''The Rise of the Speaking Machine-Human Language Evolution''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|
|Guests staying at La Posada Hotel to arrange own transportation with the hotel
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Twilight of the Anthropocene: The Fate of Human Society in the Face of Environmental Destruction''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
A "Strategy Game" is a uniquely structured battle of minds between teams representing various players (and/or other third parties) in a market or industry. The objective is to predict third parties’ moves or countermoves and stress-test one’s own plans and strategies in as realistic a setting as possible; and thus, refine your position to be resilient against these most-likely responses.

To be held on Friday, September 18, the goal of this game is to evaluate and develop optimal collaboration strategies between the BNet membership and SFI. We are seeking the participation of a cross-section of BNet and the SFI community to contribute to this highly interactive process that includes team-based analysis, discussion and debate. This activity is being directed by Luciano Oviedo, Systems Analyst, Intel Corporation. He develops processes and technologies related to business, competitive and market analytics.

For more information, please leave any questions/comments at [[Luciano Oviedo]]'s discussion page.

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Round 1''': separate into teams (each one role-plays different player / 3rd parties), perform analysis and each teams presents / defends predictions
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Round 2''': separate into teams (all play SFI /BNet), perform analysis, produce / present actionable recommendations to fellow BNet members and SFI leadership for consideration
|-
|3:00 pm
|Tea with SFI community
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Business Network Presentations''': exchange from a sub-set of BNet members that describe how their organizations are aiming to bridge or apply complexity theory / research to their existing organizational challenges/questions
|-
|5:00 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-09-01T18:58:10Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers:

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.josephcoates.com/index.html Joseph Coates], Futurist, Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=371 Jordan Greenhall], SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=92 Alfred Hübler], SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition

*[http://www.santafe.edu/events/workshops/images/2/2f/ScottMathewsProfile.pdf Scott Mathews], Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], SFI Omidyar Fellow

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-09-01T18:57:29Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers include:

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.josephcoates.com/index.html Joseph Coates], Futurist, Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=371 Jordan Greenhall], SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=92 Alfred Hübler], SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition

*[http://www.santafe.edu/events/workshops/images/2/2f/ScottMathewsProfile.pdf Scott Mathews], Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], SFI Omidyar Fellow

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-09-01T18:56:21Z

Bn: /* Wednesday, September 16 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to the Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''The Role of Trends and Discontinuities in Strategic Foresight''', Joseph Coates, Futurist, Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.
|-
|10:45 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:00 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight: Is Technological Progress Predictable?''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|11:30 am
|'''Opening and demo of the [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ Performance Curve Database] at [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ pcdb.santafe.edu]'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn
|-
|5:00 pm
|'''Cocktails and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Dinner at SFI'''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 Years - A Prediction Based on Current Research Progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speaker'''
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speaker'''
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|
|Guests staying at La Posada Hotel to arrange own transportation with the hotel
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''The Rise of the Speaking Machine-Human Language Evolution''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|
|Guests staying at La Posada Hotel to arrange own transportation with the hotel
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
A "Strategy Game" is a uniquely structured battle of minds between teams representing various players (and/or other third parties) in a market or industry. The objective is to predict third parties’ moves or countermoves and stress-test one’s own plans and strategies in as realistic a setting as possible; and thus, refine your position to be resilient against these most-likely responses.

To be held on Friday, September 18, the goal of this game is to evaluate and develop optimal collaboration strategies between the BNet membership and SFI. We are seeking the participation of a cross-section of BNet and the SFI community to contribute to this highly interactive process that includes team-based analysis, discussion and debate. This activity is being directed by Luciano Oviedo, Systems Analyst, Intel Corporation. He develops processes and technologies related to business, competitive and market analytics.

For more information, please leave any questions/comments at [[Luciano Oviedo]]'s discussion page.

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Round 1''': separate into teams (each one role-plays different player / 3rd parties), perform analysis and each teams presents / defends predictions
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Round 2''': separate into teams (all play SFI /BNet), perform analysis, produce / present actionable recommendations to fellow BNet members and SFI leadership for consideration
|-
|3:00 pm
|Tea with SFI community
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Business Network Presentations''': exchange from a sub-set of BNet members that describe how their organizations are aiming to bridge or apply complexity theory / research to their existing organizational challenges/questions
|-
|5:00 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-08-31T15:00:35Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers include:

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.josephcoates.com/index.html Joseph Coates], Futurist, Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=371 Jordan Greenhall], SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=92 Alfred Hübler], SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition

*[http://www.santafe.edu/events/workshops/images/2/2f/ScottMathewsProfile.pdf Scott Mathews], Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=236 Cosma Shalizi] (invited), SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University

*[http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], SFI Omidyar Fellow

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-31T14:59:46Z

Bn: /* Tuesday, September 15 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to the Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''The Role of Trends and Discontinuities in Strategic Foresight''', Joseph Coates, Futurist, Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.
|-
|10:45 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:00 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight: Is Technological Progress Predictable?''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|11:30 am
|'''Opening and demo of the [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ Performance Curve Database] at [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ pcdb.santafe.edu]'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''TBD''',
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
A "Strategy Game" is a uniquely structured battle of minds between teams representing various players (and/or other third parties) in a market or industry. The objective is to predict third parties’ moves or countermoves and stress-test one’s own plans and strategies in as realistic a setting as possible; and thus, refine your position to be resilient against these most-likely responses. To be held on Friday, 18.Sept.2008 at SFI, the goal of this game is to evaluate and develop optimal collaboration strategies between the BNet membership and SFI. We are seeking the participation of a cross-section of B-net and the SFI community to contribute to this highly interactive process that includes team-based analysis, discussion and debate. This activity is being directed by Luciano Oviedo, Intel Corporation. He develops processes and technologies related to business, competitive and market analytics.

For more information, please leave any questions/comments at [[Luciano Oviedo]]'s discussion page.

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Round 1: separate into teams (each one role-play's different player/3rd parties), perform analysis and each teams presents/defends predictions
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Round 2: seperate into teams (all play SFI/b-net), perform analysis, produce/present actionable recommendations to fellow BNet members and SFI leadership for consideration
|-
|3:00 pm
|Tea with SFI community
|-
|3:30 pm
|Business Network Presentations: exchange from a sub-set of BNet members that describe how their organizations are aiming to bridge or apply complexity theory/research to their existing organizational challenges/questions
|-
|5:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-30T23:24:17Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.josephcoates.com/pdf_files/277_coming_to_grips.pdf Coming to Grips With the Future; Coates]

[http://www.josephcoates.com/pdf_files/271_Science_16_Trends.pdf Where Science is Headed—Sixteen Trends; Coates]

[http://www.amazon.com/Nature-Technology-What-How-Evolves/dp/1416544054 The Nature of Technology: What It Is and How It Evolves; Arthur]

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[[Media: Koh_Magee_Information.pdf‎| A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]]

[[Media: Koh_Magee_Energy.pdf‎| A functional approach for studying technological progress: Extension to energy technology; Koh and Magee]]

[http://esd.mit.edu/WPS/2009/esd-wp-2009-09.pdf Towards quantification of the Role of Materials Innovation in overall Technological Development; Magee]

[[Media: DigitalWiresSimplyComplex.pdf‎| Digital Wires; Hübler]]

[[Media: DigitalBatteriesSimplyComplex.pdf‎| Digital Batteries; Hübler]]

[[Media: RichardsShaw.pdf| Chips, Architectures and Algorithms: Reflections on the Exponential Growth of Digital Signal Processing Capability; Richards and Shaw]]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/conf_proceedings/CF267/ Shaping Tomorrow Today: Near-Term Steps Towards Long-Term Goals; Lempert, Popper, Min, Dewar]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://folk.uib.no/gbsaj/papers/JenkinsAD_ee20050307.pdf Thermodynamics and economics; Jenkins]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kühnert, and West]

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-30T18:17:49Z

Bn: /* Monday, September 14 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to the Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''The Role of Trends and Discontinuities in Strategic Foresight''', Joseph Coates, Futurist, Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.
|-
|10:45 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:00 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight: Is Technological Progress Predictable?''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|11:30 am
|'''Opening and demo of the [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ Performance Curve Database] at [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ pcdb.santafe.edu]'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
A "Strategy Game" is a uniquely structured battle of minds between teams representing various players (and/or other third parties) in a market or industry. The objective is to predict third parties’ moves or countermoves and stress-test one’s own plans and strategies in as realistic a setting as possible; and thus, refine your position to be resilient against these most-likely responses. To be held on Friday, 18.Sept.2008 at SFI, the goal of this game is to evaluate and develop optimal collaboration strategies between the BNet membership and SFI. We are seeking the participation of a cross-section of B-net and the SFI community to contribute to this highly interactive process that includes team-based analysis, discussion and debate. This activity is being directed by Luciano Oviedo, Intel Corporation. He develops processes and technologies related to business, competitive and market analytics.

For more information, please leave any questions/comments at [[Luciano Oviedo]]'s discussion page.

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Round 1: separate into teams (each one role-play's different player/3rd parties), perform analysis and each teams presents/defends predictions
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Round 2: seperate into teams (all play SFI/b-net), perform analysis, produce/present actionable recommendations to fellow BNet members and SFI leadership for consideration
|-
|3:00 pm
|Tea with SFI community
|-
|3:30 pm
|Business Network Presentations: exchange from a sub-set of BNet members that describe how their organizations are aiming to bridge or apply complexity theory/research to their existing organizational challenges/questions
|-
|5:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-29T17:45:06Z

Bn: /* Monday, September 14 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to the Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''TBA''', Joseph Coates, Futurist, Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.
|-
|10:45 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:00 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight: Is Technological Progress Predictable?''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|11:30 am
|'''Opening and demo of the [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ Performance Curve Database] at [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ pcdb.santafe.edu]'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
A "Strategy Game" is a uniquely structured battle of minds between teams representing various players (and/or other third parties) in a market or industry. The objective is to predict third parties’ moves or countermoves and stress-test one’s own plans and strategies in as realistic a setting as possible; and thus, refine your position to be resilient against these most-likely responses. To be held on Friday, 18.Sept.2008 at SFI, the goal of this game is to evaluate and develop optimal collaboration strategies between the BNet membership and SFI. We are seeking the participation of a cross-section of B-net and the SFI community to contribute to this highly interactive process that includes team-based analysis, discussion and debate. This activity is being directed by Luciano Oviedo, Intel Corporation. He develops processes and technologies related to business, competitive and market analytics.

For more information, please leave any questions/comments at [[Luciano Oviedo]]'s discussion page.

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Round 1: separate into teams (each one role-play's different player/3rd parties), perform analysis and each teams presents/defends predictions
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Round 2: seperate into teams (all play SFI/b-net), perform analysis, produce/present actionable recommendations to fellow BNet members and SFI leadership for consideration
|-
|3:00 pm
|Tea with SFI community
|-
|3:30 pm
|Business Network Presentations: exchange from a sub-set of BNet members that describe how their organizations are aiming to bridge or apply complexity theory/research to their existing organizational challenges/questions
|-
|5:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-26T19:08:38Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to the Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''TBA''', Joseph Coates, Futurist, Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.
|-
|10:45 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:00 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|11:30 am
|'''Opening and demo of the [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ Performance Curve Database] at [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ pcdb.santafe.edu]'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-08-26T19:07:06Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers include:

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.josephcoates.com/index.html Joseph Coates], Futurist, Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=371 Jordan Greenhall], SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=92 Alfred Hübler], SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition

*[http://www.santafe.edu/events/workshops/images/2/2f/ScottMathewsProfile.pdf Scott Mathews], Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=236 Cosma Shalizi] (invited), SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University

*[http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community

*[http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/people/Peter-Thiel/ Peter Thiel] (invited), Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], SFI Omidyar Fellow

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-08-26T19:06:27Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers include:

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.josephcoates.com/index.html Joe Coates], Joseph Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=371 Jordan Greenhall], SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=92 Alfred Hübler], SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition

*[http://www.santafe.edu/events/workshops/images/2/2f/ScottMathewsProfile.pdf Scott Mathews], Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=236 Cosma Shalizi] (invited), SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University

*[http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community

*[http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/people/Peter-Thiel/ Peter Thiel] (invited), Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], SFI Omidyar Fellow

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-25T23:58:44Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.amazon.com/Nature-Technology-What-How-Evolves/dp/1416544054 The Nature of Technology: What It Is and How It Evolves; Arthur]

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[[Media: Koh_Magee_Information.pdf‎| A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]]

[[Media: Koh_Magee_Energy.pdf‎| A functional approach for studying technological progress: Extension to energy technology; Koh and Magee]]

[http://esd.mit.edu/WPS/2009/esd-wp-2009-09.pdf Towards quantification of the Role of Materials Innovation in overall Technological Development; Magee]

[[Media: DigitalWiresSimplyComplex.pdf‎| Digital Wires; Hübler]]

[[Media: DigitalBatteriesSimplyComplex.pdf‎| Digital Batteries; Hübler]]

[[Media: RichardsShaw.pdf| Chips, Architectures and Algorithms: Reflections on the Exponential Growth of Digital Signal Processing Capability; Richards and Shaw]]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/conf_proceedings/CF267/ Shaping Tomorrow Today: Near-Term Steps Towards Long-Term Goals; Lempert, Popper, Min, Dewar]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://folk.uib.no/gbsaj/papers/JenkinsAD_ee20050307.pdf Thermodynamics and economics; Jenkins]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kühnert, and West]

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-25T23:24:24Z

Bn: /* Monday, September 14 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to the Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''TBA'''
|-
|10:45 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:00 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|11:30 am
|'''Opening and demo of the [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ Performance Curve Database] at [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ pcdb.santafe.edu]'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-25T23:23:59Z

Bn: /* Monday, September 14 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''TBA'''
|-
|10:45 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:00 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|11:30 am
|'''Opening and demo of the [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ Performance Curve Database] at [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ pcdb.santafe.edu]'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-25T23:23:19Z

Bn: /* Monday, September 14 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate
Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''TBA'''
|-
|10:45 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:00 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|11:30 am
|'''Opening and demo of the [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ Performance Curve Database] at [http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ pcdb.santafe.edu]'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-25T23:12:07Z

Bn: /* Monday, September 14 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate
Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''TBA'''
|-
|10:45 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:00 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-08-25T19:11:27Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers include:

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=371 Jordan Greenhall], SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=92 Alfred Hübler], SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition

*Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.gbn.com/people/peopledetail.php?id=12 Peter Schwartz] (invited), Co-Founder, Global Business Network

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=236 Cosma Shalizi] (invited), SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University

*[http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community

*[http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/people/Peter-Thiel/ Peter Thiel] (invited), Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], SFI Omidyar Fellow

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-25T19:10:55Z

Bn: /* Wednesday, September 16 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate
Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''Evaluating Scenario Planning''', Peter Schwartz, Co-Founder, Global Business Network
|-
|11:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-25T19:09:57Z

Bn: /* Wednesday, September 16 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate
Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''Evaluating Scenario Planning''', Peter Schwartz, Co-Founder, Global Business Network
|-
|11:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Shaping Tomorrow Today: New Approaches for Making More Effective Long-Term Decisions''', Robert Lempert, Director, RAND's Frederick S.Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-25T00:09:51Z

Bn: /* Thursday, September 17 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate
Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''Evaluating Scenario Planning''', Peter Schwartz, Co-Founder, Global Business Network
|-
|11:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Can We Trust Computer Simulations?''', Robert Lempert, Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 

==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-25T00:07:44Z

Bn: /* Monday, September 14 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate
Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''Evaluating Scenario Planning''', Peter Schwartz, Co-Founder, Global Business Network
|-
|11:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Can We Trust Computer Simulations?''', Robert Lempert, Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios?''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 
==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-24T22:15:17Z

Bn: /* Tuesday, September 15 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate
Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''Evaluating Scenario Planning ''', Peter Schwartz, Co-Founder, Global Business Network
|-
|11:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Can We Trust Computer Simulations?''', Robert Lempert, Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios?''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 
==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-24T22:14:55Z

Bn: /* Tuesday, September 15 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

==The Future Is Not What It Used To Be==
September 14-17, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate
Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''Evaluating Scenario Planning ''', Peter Schwartz, Co-Founder, Global Business Network
|-
|11:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Engineering Your Risks in a Portfolio of Futures: Tactics and Strategies.''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Can We Trust Computer Simulations?''', Robert Lempert, Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios?''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
 
 
==Business Network Strategy Game Session==
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-08-24T22:04:49Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers include:

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=371 Jordan Greenhall], SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=92 Alfred Hübler], SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School

*Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.gbn.com/people/peopledetail.php?id=12 Peter Schwartz] (invited), Co-Founder, Global Business Network

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=236 Cosma Shalizi] (invited), SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University

*[http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community

*[http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/people/Peter-Thiel/ Peter Thiel] (invited), Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], SFI Omidyar Fellow

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-24T21:48:48Z

Bn: /* Friday, September 18 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

====The Future Is Not What It Used To Be====
September 14-17, 2009 

====Business Network Strategy Game Session====
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate
Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''Evaluating Scenario Planning ''', Peter Schwartz, Co-Founder, Global Business Network
|-
|11:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Real Options''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Can We Trust Computer Simulations?''', Robert Lempert, Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
====Thursday, September 17====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Energy Technology Portfolios?''', Jessika Trancik, SFI Omidyar Fellow
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Singularity and Sustainability''', Luis Bettencourt, SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Summary and Open Questions''', J. Doyne Farmer, SFI Professor
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Discussion'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture III - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Daniel Schrag, SFI External Professor and Professor, Earth and Planetary Sciences, and Director, Center for the Environment, Harvard University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}
====Friday, September 18====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|
|'''Business Network Strategy Game Session''', facilitated by Luciano Oviedo, Intel
|-
|8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|Session begins
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|Session continues
|-
|2:00 pm
|Adjourn
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Agenda

2009-08-24T21:36:09Z

Bn: /* Tuesday, September 15 */

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

====The Future Is Not What It Used To Be====
September 14-17, 2009 

=====Business Network Strategy Game Session=====
September 18, 2009 

''Events are held at the Santa Fe Institute unless otherwise noted''

====Monday, September 14====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''Welcome to Santa Fe Institute''', Chris Wood, Vice President, Administration
|-
|9:30 am
|'''Introduction to the SFI Business Network''', Nancy Deutsch, Vice President, Development and Corporate
Relations
|-
|9:45 am
|'''Evaluating Scenario Planning ''', Peter Schwartz, Co-Founder, Global Business Network
|-
|11:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Past Forecasts in Hindsight''', Béla Nagy, SFI Postdoctoral Fellow
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Futures Studies Report Card''', Peter Bishop, Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Lessons from Cultural Evolution''', Jordan Greenhall, SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|5:45 pm
|Shuttle to SFI from La Posada Hotel
|-
|6:00 pm
|'''Dinner and opening of traveling exhibition “Yesterday’s Tomorrows” at SFI'''
|}

====Tuesday, September 15====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''The Future According to You''', Anna Salamon, Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''How to Invest in the Singularity''', Peter Thiel, Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Real Options''', Scott Mathews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Energy and IT Technology in 20 years - a prediction based on current research progress''', Alfred Hübler, SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|5:30 pm
|'''Reception Honoring Murray Gell-Mann’s 80th Birthday''' at La Posada Hotel
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture I - '''The Search for the Nature of Matter''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith, Oxford University, Director General of CERN (1994-98)
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle from James A. Little Theatre to La Posada Hotel
|}

====Wednesday, September 16====
{| width="95%" border="1" cellpadding="4"
|-
|width="15%" |8:15 am
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to SFI / Continental Breakfast at SFI
|-
|9:00 am
|'''When Can We Extrapolate?''', Cosma Shalizi, SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University
|-
|10:00 am
|Coffee Break
|-
|10:15 am
|'''Can We Trust Computer Simulations?''', Robert Lempert, Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School
|-
|11:15 am
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Morning Speakers'''
|-
|12:00 pm
|Lunch with SFI Community
|-
|1:00 pm
|'''Looking Forward by Looking Back: A Paleontologist Looks at the Future''', Doug Erwin, SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
|-
|2:00 pm
|'''Evo Devo Universe?''', John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community
|-
|3:00 pm
|Coffee Break
|-
|3:30 pm
|'''Open Discussion/ Questions for Afternoon Speakers'''
|-
|4:45 pm
|Adjourn / Shuttle to La Posada Hotel or remain at SFI
|-
|
|''Optional Evening Reception and Lecture''
|-
|7:00 pm
|Shuttle from La Posada Hotel to James A. Little Theatre
|-
|7:30 pm
|Lecture II - '''Title TBA''' as part of 2009 Annual Ulam Lecture Series Honoring Murray Gell-Mann's 80th Birthday, Mark Pagel, SFI External Professor and Professor, School of Biological Sciences, Reading University
|-
|9:00 pm
|Shuttle to La Posada Hotel
|}

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-22T15:12:57Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.amazon.com/Nature-Technology-What-How-Evolves/dp/1416544054 The Nature of Technology: What It Is and How It Evolves; Arthur]

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[[Media: Koh_Magee_Information.pdf‎| A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]]

[[Media: Koh_Magee_Energy.pdf‎| A functional approach for studying technological progress: Extension to energy technology; Koh and Magee]]

[http://esd.mit.edu/WPS/2009/esd-wp-2009-09.pdf Towards quantification of the Role of Materials Innovation in overall Technological Development; Magee]

[[Media: DigitalWiresSimplyComplex.pdf‎| Digital Wires; Hübler]]

[[Media: DigitalBatteriesSimplyComplex.pdf‎| Digital Batteries; Hübler]]

[[Media: RichardsShaw.pdf| Chips, Architectures and Algorithms: Reflections on the Exponential Growth of Digital Signal Processing Capability; Richards and Shaw]]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://folk.uib.no/gbsaj/papers/JenkinsAD_ee20050307.pdf Thermodynamics and economics; Jenkins]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kühnert, and West]

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-08-22T00:32:48Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers include:

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=371 Jordan Greenhall], SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=92 Alfred Hübler], SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School

*Scott Matthews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.gbn.com/people/peopledetail.php?id=12 Peter Schwartz] (invited), Co-Founder, Global Business Network

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=236 Cosma Shalizi] (invited), SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University

*[http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community

*[http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/people/Peter-Thiel/ Peter Thiel] (invited), Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], Omidyar Fellow, Santa Fe Institute

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-08-22T00:21:08Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers include:

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=371 Jordan Greenhall], SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=92 Alfred Hübler], SFI External Professor and Director, Center for Complex Systems Research and Professor, Physics, University of Illinois-Urbana

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School

*Scott Matthews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.gbn.com/people/peopledetail.php?id=12 Peter Schwartz] (invited), Co-Founder, Global Business Network

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=236 Cosma Shalizi] (invited), SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University

*[http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation and Co-Founder, Evo Devo Universe Community

*[http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/people/Peter-Thiel/ Peter Thiel] (invited), Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], Omidyar Fellow, Santa Fe Institute

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-20T17:31:14Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.amazon.com/Nature-Technology-What-How-Evolves/dp/1416544054 The Nature of Technology: What It Is and How It Evolves; Arthur]

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[[Media: Koh_Magee_Information.pdf‎| A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]]

[[Media: Koh_Magee_Energy.pdf‎| A functional approach for studying technological progress: Extension to energy technology; Koh and Magee]]

[[Media: DigitalWiresSimplyComplex.pdf‎| Digital Wires; Hübler]]

[[Media: DigitalBatteriesSimplyComplex.pdf‎| Digital Batteries; Hübler]]

[[Media: RichardsShaw.pdf| Chips, Architectures and Algorithms: Reflections on the Exponential Growth of Digital Signal Processing Capability; Richards and Shaw]]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://folk.uib.no/gbsaj/papers/JenkinsAD_ee20050307.pdf Thermodynamics and economics; Jenkins]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kühnert, and West]

File:DigitalBatteriesSimplyComplex.pdf

2009-08-20T17:30:19Z

Bn:

File:DigitalWiresSimplyComplex.pdf

2009-08-20T17:24:27Z

Bn:

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-20T17:22:46Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.amazon.com/Nature-Technology-What-How-Evolves/dp/1416544054 The Nature of Technology: What It Is and How It Evolves; Arthur]

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[[Media: Koh_Magee_Information.pdf‎| A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]]

[[Media: Koh_Magee_Energy.pdf‎| A functional approach for studying technological progress: Extension to energy technology; Koh and Magee]]

[[Media: RichardsShaw.pdf| Chips, Architectures and Algorithms: Reflections on the Exponential Growth of Digital Signal Processing Capability; Richards and Shaw]]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://folk.uib.no/gbsaj/papers/JenkinsAD_ee20050307.pdf Thermodynamics and economics; Jenkins]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kuhnert, and West]

File:Koh Magee Energy.pdf

2009-08-20T17:21:09Z

Bn:

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-20T17:20:15Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.amazon.com/Nature-Technology-What-How-Evolves/dp/1416544054 The Nature of Technology: What It Is and How It Evolves; Arthur]

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[[Media: Koh_Magee_Information.pdf‎| A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]]

[[Media: RichardsShaw.pdf| Chips, Architectures and Algorithms: Reflections on the Exponential Growth of Digital Signal Processing Capability; Richards and Shaw]]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://folk.uib.no/gbsaj/papers/JenkinsAD_ee20050307.pdf Thermodynamics and economics; Jenkins]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kuhnert, and West]

File:Koh Magee Information.pdf

2009-08-20T17:18:31Z

Bn:

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-19T15:38:21Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.amazon.com/Nature-Technology-What-How-Evolves/dp/1416544054 The Nature of Technology: What It Is and How It Evolves; Arthur]

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[http://web.mit.edu/iandeseminar/TFSsciencedirect2006_technologicalprogress_magee_koh.pdf A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]

[[Media: RichardsShaw.pdf| Chips, Architectures and Algorithms: Reflections on the Exponential Growth of Digital Signal Processing Capability; Richards and Shaw]]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://folk.uib.no/gbsaj/papers/JenkinsAD_ee20050307.pdf Thermodynamics and economics; Jenkins]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kuhnert, and West]

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-19T00:18:10Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.amazon.com/Nature-Technology-What-How-Evolves/dp/1416544054 The Nature of Technology: What It Is and How It Evolves; Arthur]

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[http://web.mit.edu/iandeseminar/TFSsciencedirect2006_technologicalprogress_magee_koh.pdf A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]

[[Media: RichardsShaw.pdf| Chips, Architectures and Algorithms: Reflections on the Exponential Growth of Digital Signal Processing Capability; Richards and Shaw]]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kuhnert, and West]

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-08-18T04:33:35Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers include:

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the graduate program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=371 Jordan Greenhall], SFI Trustee and Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School

*Scott Matthews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.gbn.com/people/peopledetail.php?id=12 Peter Schwartz] (invited), Co-Founder, Global Business Network

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=236 Cosma Shalizi] (invited), SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University

*[http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation

*[http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/people/Peter-Thiel/ Peter Thiel] (invited), Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], Omidyar Fellow, Santa Fe Institute

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-08-18T04:30:43Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers include:

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the graduate program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=371 Jordan Greenhall], Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board, DivX

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School

*Scott Matthews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.gbn.com/people/peopledetail.php?id=12 Peter Schwartz] (invited), Co-Founder, Global Business Network

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=236 Cosma Shalizi] (invited), SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University

*[http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation

*[http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/people/Peter-Thiel/ Peter Thiel] (invited), Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], Omidyar Fellow, Santa Fe Institute

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-16T01:07:21Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[http://web.mit.edu/iandeseminar/TFSsciencedirect2006_technologicalprogress_magee_koh.pdf A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]

[[Media: RichardsShaw.pdf| Chips, Architectures and Algorithms: Reflections on the Exponential Growth of Digital Signal Processing Capability; Richards and Shaw]]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kuhnert, and West]

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-16T01:03:57Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[http://web.mit.edu/iandeseminar/TFSsciencedirect2006_technologicalprogress_magee_koh.pdf A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]

[[Media: RichardsShaw.pdf| Chips, Architectures and Algorithms: Reflections on the Exponential Growth of Digital Signal Processing Capability; Richards and Shaw]]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kuhnert, and West]

File:RichardsShaw.pdf

2009-08-16T00:21:58Z

Bn:

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Bios

2009-08-14T15:17:20Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

Speakers include:

*[http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/people/Peter-Thiel/ Peter Thiel] (invited), Founder and President, Clarium Capital Management LLC

*[http://www.tech.uh.edu/Directory/Bishop/Peter/ Peter C. Bishop], Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the graduate program in Futures Studies, University of Houston

*[http://www.rand.org/about/spotlight/lempert_robert_j.html Robert J. Lempert], Senior Physical Scientist, RAND and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School

*[http://singinst.org/ Anna Salamon], Researcher, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=240 Luis Bettencourt], SFI External Professor and Research Scientist, Los Alamos National Laboratory

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=68 Douglas Erwin], SFI External Professor and Senior Scientist and Curator, Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History

*Scott Matthews, Associate Technical Fellow, The Boeing Company

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 Béla Nagy], SFI Postdoctoral Fellow

*[http://www.gbn.com/people/peopledetail.php?id=12 Peter Schwartz] (invited), Co-Founder, Global Business Network

*[http://accelerationwatch.com/ John Smart], President, Acceleration Studies Foundation

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=30 Jessika Trancik], Omidyar Fellow, Santa Fe Institute

*[http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=236 Cosma Shalizi] (invited), SFI External Professor and Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University, Statistics Department

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-12T17:02:14Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[http://web.mit.edu/iandeseminar/TFSsciencedirect2006_technologicalprogress_magee_koh.pdf A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop and Hines]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kuhnert, and West]

Business Network Theme Week:The Future is Not What it Used to Be - Readings

2009-08-12T17:01:13Z

Bn:

{{Business Network Theme Week: The Future is Not What it Used to Be}}

[http://www.albrightstrategy.com/papers/Albright_Past_Forecasts.pdf What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?; Albright]

[http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v460/n7256/full/460685a.html The economy needs agent-based modelling; Farmer and Foley]

[[Media: Farmer and Trancik London Accord 2007.pdf| Dynamics of technological development in the energy sector; Farmer and Trancik]]

[http://www.clubofrome.at/archive/limits.html Limits to Growth - The 30 Year Update; Meadows, Randers, Meadows]

[http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626/ Shaping the Next One Hundred Years; Lempert, Popper, Bankes]

[[Media: Sinclair Klepper Cohen.pdf| What’s Experience Got to Do With It? Sources of Cost Reduction in a Large
Specialty Chemicals Producer; Sinclair, Klepper and Cohen]]

[http://web.mit.edu/iandeseminar/TFSsciencedirect2006_technologicalprogress_magee_koh.pdf A functional approach for studying technological progress: Application to information technology; Koh and Magee]

[[Media: The_Current_state_of_scenario_development.pdf| The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques; Bishop, Hines and Collins]]

[[Media: Framework_Prague.pdf‎| Framework Forecasting: Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future; Bishop]]

[http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Future-Guidelines-Strategic-Foresight/dp/097893170X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250049551&sr=1-1 Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight; Bishop]

[[Media: Wack.pdf‎| Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead; Wack]]

[[Media: Courtney.pdf‎| Making the most of uncertainty; Courtney]]

[http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1 The Law of Accelerating Returns; Kurzweil]

[http://singularity.com/ The Singularity is Near; Kurzweil]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf Long-Term Growth As A Sequence of Exponential Modes; Hanson]

[http://hanson.gmu.edu/IEEESpectrum-6-08.pdf Economics of the Singularity; Hanson]

[http://evodevouniverse.com/wiki/Project Evo Devo Universe Research Community Project Page; Smart, Vidal]

[http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartEvoDevoUniv2008.pdf Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture; Smart]

[[Media: Aunger2007_.pdf| Major transitions in ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[[Media: Aunger2007.pdf| A rigorous periodization of ‘big’ history; Aunger]]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/98/10/5399.full.pdf Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions; Erwin]

[http://www.pnas.org/content/104/17/7301.full.pdf Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities; Bettencourt, Lobo, Helbing, Kuhnert, and West]

File:Courtney.pdf

2009-08-12T16:57:47Z

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File:Wack.pdf

2009-08-12T16:55:21Z

Bn: